Alphabet (Google): records, expectations ...

Alphabet (Google): records, expectations and outlook

Feb 14, 2025

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Today, let's take a look at Alphabet's (better known as Google) report, which includes several key takeaways related to its financial performance and strategic initiatives.

Financial results

For the past quarter, Alphabet recorded $96.5 billion in revenue, setting a new all-time record. While this result was slightly below analysts' projections, it demonstrates the strong growth of the business.

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The revenue growth dynamics amounted to 11.8%. This is a decent indicator, though it is slightly inferior to the results of the previous quarter.

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The main part of the revenue was brought by Google-services, bringing $84 bln. This is the key direction for the company, which continues to be the growth driver.

Of particular note is the Google Cloud segment, where a new record of $11.9 billion was set. This sector saw an impressive 30% year-on-year growth, underscoring the importance of investing in cloud technology. Demand for Cloud services far exceeds supply, so the company's management plans to expand its infrastructure by opening new data centers in 11 regions.

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Also notable was the significant contribution of YouTube, which added nearly $1.3 billion to total revenue. The platform remains an important asset for the company, attracting the attention of users and advertisers.

Investments and innovations

Alphabet is actively investing in AI development. The company is developing projects such as Veo 2, Imagen 3, as well as improving advertising automation tools. Special attention is paid to integrating AI into various Google products, including the search engine, YouTube, Workspace and the Android operating system. Prominent among the new products is Gemini 2.0, which has already attracted twice as many developers in just the last six months. The company plans to monetize this platform through subscriptions, but advertising is also being considered.

Earnings performance and cash flow

The fourth quarter brought record net income of $2.15. This is higher than analysts' expectations ($2.13), indicating that the company's earnings are growing steadily.

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In terms of EBITDA the company also achieved high results - $35 billion with a record margin.

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Another achievement was a record cash flow - $39 billion. Free cash flow amounted to $24 billion, despite a significant increase in capital expenditures by two and a half times over the last year.

Dividends and buyback

In 2024, the company will start paying dividends, which is a positive signal for investors. In addition, Alphabet continues the program of buying back its own shares (buyback), having spent about $15 billion for this purpose. The number of shares on the market has noticeably decreased, which favorably affects their price.

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Valuation ratios

At the moment the P/E ratio is 23.9. It is expected that in the next year the forward multiple will be within 23. Analysts forecast net income growth of about 12% over the next three years, which would bring the P/E down to 20. This is in line with the company's historical averages, indicating that the market is not significantly overheated.

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Potential risks

Despite the positive trends, there are some deterrents. In particular, the U.S. Department of Justice is investigating the possible splitting of the company into several parts. This process could drag on for many years and have an impact on the stock price.

In addition, the company faces competitive challenges from projects such as ChatGPT and DeepSeek. There is also a risk of stock price correction depending on possible sanctions and investigations, especially regarding the company's operations in China.

In summary, Alphabet's report shows strong financial results and significant progress in the development of innovative technologies. However, investors should consider potential risks related to regulatory issues and global competition.

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It is not an investment recommendation. Consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions

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