If my previous post warning wasn't enough about toning down the risks, if you are still able to, even at 100%, I would still consider dropping down a bit more to cover for the 9th safety order or have money prepared to add funds. Keep your strong performers if your balances are still healthy
This post is usually for supporters only, but due to expecting people suffering with red bags, I just wanted to show a comparison against other settings and how they handled the market. So this post will be made public.
Having the possibility to be in a short/mid term bearish market, we need to have that extra coverage. Even considering moving to Mercury, or a safer setting like TA Strong Uptrend, may be a better option for this month. Have a look at the Paper trade v5 spreadsheet (supporters) and just to confirm everything is in the red apart from a select few settings.
Focus not on the profits as some settings costs more than others, so that's a bad way to compare, but the 2 columns:
ROI , Based on Max Required Funds - The main gauge to use just to see how well the bot is doing if you ignore the ADR (uPNL)
Actual ROI, Based on Max Required Funds - Takes into account the ADR so your true profit. E.g look at the Mizu settings and they are prolly negative or a big chunk or ROI is wiped off because of the higher ADR
Snapshot of 4 days in Dec, While we had the dip Set 1 being random coins including some strong and some weak horrible lower cap coins. So now we are not in a strong bullish market. This shows that with poor coin selection, you are already struggling to make profit, compared to last month where every setting was clearly profitable, but again we are still early into the crash and 4 days of data isn't something you should fully trust as we need more days. I only put this comparison up just to give an idea of how a dip affects our settings, ADR, ROI and Actual ROI.
Set 1 - ALICE, AUDIO, AVAX, AXS, CELO, COTI, DOGE, ICP, KLAY, LINK, OGN, ONE, QTUM, REEF, REP, SHIB, SOL, SRM, XRP, ZEN
Set 2 - Stronger Coins. AR, HOT, LUNA, MANA, ONE, QNT, RUNE, SAND, SHIB, SOL. This should give a better ROI, because of better coin selection
From Set 2, We can see TA Deep retracement settings will work pretty well, but the ROI is pretty low as a safer bot costs more, so you ain't going to be making as much without increasing risks. Mercury is doing amazingly well, but its only covering 44.61% drop, in this kind of market, it may be ok, but I would actually feel safer running Mercury with spare money just incase you need that 9th safety order for 59.86% coverage, but that increasing the bot costs from $1000 to 1500. And that obviously will reduce the ROI a bit.
Mars is still a nice ROI bot, but will it do well? depends if we get a deeper drop than 42%... And also if you are overextending, and not allowing Mars to perform properly, and have the spare funds to cover a further drop, you could be in trouble.
Mizus on both Sets are just scary, I would not want to run a Mizu in this month, Last month maybe ok, but this month you will really be sweating, and I really hope you do get out.
Kiris, you decide for yourself if its that much better than the other settings, maybe it's something that works for you, but for me from the tests, I'm not impressed enough.
TA Strong uptrend, its the safest aggressive setting, so ok ROI, and safer in it Averages down better than the Mars, etc. All the other TA settings are as expected, safe bots but lacking in ROI as not making use of funds, and the main one to watch is the Strong Uptrend or TA2.5 or Ta Safer.
RN - Cheap bots like Urmas, so maybe ok in a bull run, as high ROI but not worth looking at in this current market, shame I didn't test them in November.
Mantis - These are his old settings, expensive bots and managed very actively, most wont have any use for this as its for a huge bankroll to use properly. Also Mantis is running a different variant of Mars called Mars+ which from the looks of it, is another aggressive high bankroll bot. Hopefully its going to make him tons of money!
TheAlpha - We know these settings won't outperform Mars, but during these conditions, its very viable and looks decent. Worth a look at if anyone is interested because it seems safer and ok ROI. These were tested in real money last month, and added these to the tests as TheAlpha from our discord Dmed me to get them tested alongside the others :)
Now Set 3 with indicators
RSI-7, 3 minutes, 70
RSI-7, 4 hours, 63
ULT, 3 minutes, 67
ULT, 2 hours, 57
Now just to prove that running indicators won't protect you from a dip, and you are sacrificing so much ROI. This is the reason why I don't run indicators, I've tested them in the past, and just found I was wasting too much time and effort, and the ROI didn't improve for me or make it red bag free. You will still eventually get caught with red bags.
Summary
We'll see how the week goes, but for me, I made the mistake of overextending at 120% risks on Mars, I did attempt to de-risk, but didn't take drastic action fast enough, so I'm stuck waiting with a few red bags. The coins I'm with are mostly coins I'm happy to hodl, but just gutted I wasn't able to fill my safety orders properly, and couldn't drop my risk to 70% in time. This month is nothing like November which clearly Mars was still strongest and works in most markets. I'll be waiting for the recovery now, as I don't have funds to add.
Will Mars still perform well this month? I think it still can, but I'd just be cautious and run them at 70% risks, or 100% risk with the 9th safety orders for the short/medium term.