Ascot Day 5 Thoughts

Ascot Day 5 Thoughts

Jun 21, 2024

(Betting selections to follow in comments below)

(2.30) - Top 3 in the market the way to go here...

AGE OF GOLD is interesting was green on debut and needs to have developed a bit physically but scored 81.07% which is elite on Tom Wilson's Racing Squared Data analysis.

It still would have a very tough ask beating the Ballydoyle Runner BEDTIME STORY with the Fillies allowance, only worry with her is the low draw in 3 but we saw Ryan Moore do the business today and get across well on Fairy Godmother in the 2.30

(3.05) - Wait and see the market on this one CONTINUOUS looks short enough given that this is it's reappearance, can see it drifting and I'll likely be taking it on

MIDDLE EARTH gets his ground this time and should return the form with Continuous and at a bigger price I'd say ELEGANT MAN is not out of it too, he has the right conditions and if he stays shouldn't be anywhere near the 40/1 available.

(3.45) - We've seen the effect the Draw is having at this meeting already, so look for high numbers, we've also seen those making the pace have failed to last home, so perhaps a closer, tbh this is a poor quality race, and I'll likely swerve or add a few algorithm selections down below 

(4.25) - Top Two in the market dominate this race, RIVER TIBER and HAATEM but I'd say the value will be elsewhere River Tiber been poor this season and I'm not sure 7 furlongs will suit Haatem so I'll likely be taking them both on with the algo

(5.05) - Although HARRY THREE does look like a classic plot job this is a 29 runners 6 furlong / another poor quality race, time to get those Ew multiples / Lucky 15s on the go! And pray

(5.40) - APPROVAL is interesting in this, stepped forward recently after being gelded and should love the ground but is up a few lbs now, DAMBUSTER is another that is thrown in of a rating of 90 and looks aimed for this.

(6.15) - Favourite QUEENSTOWN has stamina doubts and even if it runs TRUESHAN has no chance, don't like the jockey Guyon on RUN FOR OSCAR, UXMAL could be the way to go, I'll wait and see the market.

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