Ukraine has launched an attack from another angle towards Kopani, attempting to seize the territory between it and Nesterianka, located to the northwest of Kopani. Ukraine is still sustaining pressure from the east, where Robotyne is as well. Despite the new avenue of attack, Ukraine still failed to make any appreciable advances, though they captured a slight sliver of territory north of Kopani. The rest of this portion of the front remains stalemated for the time being. Ukraine is certainly shifting pressure on Kopani, but I am unsure of their ability to take the town in the near future. Time is running out, and Ukraine's rate of advance is far too slow. Unless if Ukraine is keeping a major surprise up their sleeve, it seems as if their counteroffensive has culminated. With Russia going on the attack elsewhere, the situation is overall quite balanced at the moment.
Russia's defense of Kurdyumivka has held quite well, but Ukraine is now trying to partially bypass the town. With Ukraine securing slices of territory east of the railroad around Andriivka, they are now trying to push south towards Zelenopillya, which is in effect the northeastern corner of Kurdyumivka. If Ukraine can reach Zelenopillya, they will be able to cut off eastern supply lines to Kurdyumivka, leaving it with just a single southernly route and a handful of minor roads running to the east. However, I think Ukraine is likely too far away to reach and secure Zelenopillya before the heavy rains start. I think it's doable, but tough, and I'm not sure Ukraine is willing to commit enough resources to take the heavily fortified area that rapidly.
Russia has launched several small scale pushes around Avdiivka in an effort to isolate it further. There are disputed claims as to whether or not Russian troops were able to secure part of a highway running west to east, south of Avdiivka. There has been a lot of back and forth here over the course of the war, and Ukraine is still in firm control over the city, with supply lines to it still open. It has been in precarious positions before, and it seems to be approaching one again. If Russia can keep up their momentum, they will probably try to use the rainy season to start contesting the city itself. However, this would be a very ambitious goal for them, and I expect that they will fail to do so. In fact, Russia securing largely empty areas around Avdiivka may harm them depending on the severity of the rains, as a firmly entrenched Ukrainian garrison in Avdiivka would have the advantage of well paved roads, while Russian troops would frequently be attempting to maneuver through muddy soil. For that reason, I wouldn't be surprised if Russia stops their push soon, if the best they can do is to only advance slowly.
Russia's offensive towards Makiivka has slowed, though they have yet to stall out. Russian troops have edged closer to the key village from the east, but have taken armored losses with their push. Russia has, overall, lost a lot of armored vehicles with their various pushes in Luhansk and Kharkiv oblasts. Russia has vast reserves of these vehicles to pull from, though it's questionable how many of them are combat worthy, or even functional. On paper, Russia can absolutely afford these losses, but it's uncertain if they can genuinely absorb these casualties while maintaining combat effectiveness at this point.
Russian milbloggers of late have warned that Ukraine intends to fully cross the Dnipro river soon. This is nothing new; such claims have been made numerous times, and nothing came of it. However, a very specific claim from a Russian milblogger was made today. Specifically, that Ukraine would launch an offensive on October 10th where they would ret to capture Oleshky, Hola Prystan, and Nova Kakhovka. With such a particular claim being aired, I have a hard time imagining it will actually happen. If Ukraine was planning such an attack, they now know to expect Russia to be fully prepared. However, there is logic behind Ukraine seeking to open a second front here, if they are able to do so. Russian supply lines are at their weakest here, though of course Ukrainian supply lines would be even weaker across the river. And with their offensive in Zaporizhzhia oblast still largely stalled out Ukraine needs to shake things up.
The situation in Israel continues to dominate the headlines, and the United Nations Security Council held a meeting on the conflict. Suffice to say, Ukraine is currently a secondary concern for much of the world. The United States has deployed additional air and naval assets towards Israel, and the government of the United States is openly talking about a possible emergency military aid package for Israel. There are few signs that the situation is about to change, with Hamas forces still present inside of Israel's internationally recognized borders. And with videos and photos of war crimes being committed (including beheadings), it's hard to see Israel restraining itself once a ground operation into Gaza takes place (an American official said they expect this to happen in the next day or two). A probable brutal occupation and insurgency will continue to draw global attention.
Many countries important to Ukraine's war effort have also diverted key resources towards evacuating their citizens from Israel. For example, Poland has sent planes to Israel to try to get their citizens out, planes which otherwise could be used to help ferry supplies into Poland which would then be sent to Ukraine. Ukraine itself has expressed solidarity with Israel, and is working with Israel to try to get as many Ukrainian citizens out of Israel as possible. Two are reported to have been killed.