Tropical Update -- Sun 27 Aug'23

Tropical Update -- Sun 27 Aug'23

Aug 27, 2023

> TS Idalia formed, watching new trop. wave <

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From left to right…

* Orange:

Tropical Storm Idalia (formerly Tropical Depression #10 & invest 93L) formed at 11:15am this morning and at 5pm: was centered at 20.1°N 85.5°W (+/- 1470mi WNW of SSS Islands) -- between the tip of Mexico & Cuba.

...Although Idalia will not affect the Eastern Caribbean, it is expected to become a hurricane by late Mon/early Tue -- as it heads for southeastern USA (Florida, Georgia, etc).

...This will be our last mention of Idalia, unless/until major changes occur.

* White:

Hurricane Franklin became a category-2 (winds @ 100mph) at 11am, and at 5pm: was centered at 25.9°N 70.0°W (+/- 700mi NW of SSS Islands) -- east of The Bahamas.

…Franklin no longer poses a threat to the Caribbean, and could become a major hurricane by Mon/Tue.

…This is our last mention of Franklin, until/unless major changes occur.

* Red:

A new tropical wave, which is about to emerge off the coast of Africa in a day or two -- already has a low (0-20%) chance of developing within the next 2-7 days.

...It is way too early to determine the intensity, path, or effects of this system -- if any.

We will continue to monitor its progress.

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⚠ we are in the PEAK of the Season...

#RemainAlert #StayPrepared

Keep checking back for updates

________________

2023 Hurricane Season:

>> So far: 10 trop. storms, 2 hurricanes

>> Expected: 13-18 tropical storms, 6-8 hurricanes (3-4 major)

* Normal Season: 14 TS, 7 H (3 MH) --> 2023 = near- to sl. above-average!

________________

Reminder:

* St. Maarten = 18.0°N, 63.1°W

* Saba = 17.6°N, 63.2°W

* St. Eustatius = 17.5°N, 63.0°W

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