2025 City of Los Angeles Mass Shooting Forecast Report
Shootings (2013-2024): 30
Prediction for 2025: 7 (85% likelihood)
General Forecast Data
• Likely Months: April, August
• Likely Days: Fridays, Sundays
• Likely Times: Late evenings (9 PM - 2 AM), Early mornings (6 AM - 9 AM)
• Likely Locations: Schools, Universities, Shopping Malls, Nightclubs, Hospitals, Churches, Public Parks, Infrastructure, Landmarks
Most Likely Locations With A High Probability Of Experiencing A Mass Shooting In 2025
Elementary Schools
1. Miracle Elementary School
• 85% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 30% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
2. Los Angeles International School
• 85% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 30% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
3. Eastside Academy
• 85% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 30% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
Middle Schools
1. Westwood Middle School
• 80% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 65% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 55% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 40% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
2. Lincoln Park Middle School
• 80% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 65% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 55% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 40% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
3. Echo Park Academy
• 80% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 65% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 55% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 40% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
High Schools
1. Hollywood High School
• 75% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 35% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
2. Southgate High School
• 75% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 35% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
3. Compton High School
• 75% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 35% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
Universities
1. University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)
• 90% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 80% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 50% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
2. California State University, Los Angeles
• 90% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 80% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 50% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
3. University of Southern California (USC)
• 90% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning
• 80% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
• 50% likelihood: Weekends, Morning, Afternoon, Evening
Shopping Malls and Commercial Areas
1. Westfield Century City
• 70% likelihood: Saturdays, 12 PM - 9 PM
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
2. The Grove
• 70% likelihood: Saturdays, 12 PM - 9 PM
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
3. South Coast Plaza
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
• 50% likelihood: Weekdays, Evening
Churches and Places of Worship
1. St. John's Cathedral
• 65% likelihood: Sundays, 8 AM - 12 PM
• 55% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
2. Bethel Church
• 65% likelihood: Sundays, 8 AM - 12 PM
• 55% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
3. Grace Fellowship Church
• 65% likelihood: Sundays, 8 AM - 12 PM
• 55% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
Hospitals or Medical Centers
1. Cedars-Sinai Medical Center
• 85% likelihood: 6 PM - 11 PM
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
2. Los Angeles County Hospital
• 85% likelihood: 6 PM - 11 PM
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
3. St. Vincent Medical Center
• 85% likelihood: 6 PM - 11 PM
• 70% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon
Nightclubs and Restaurants
1. The W Hotel's Rooftop Bar (Downtown Los Angeles)
• 70% likelihood: Fridays and Saturdays, 10 PM - 2 AM
• 55% likelihood: Weekdays, 7 PM - 9 PM
• 50% likelihood: Sundays, 5 PM - 10 PM
2. The Roosevelt Hotel's Tropicana Bar (Hollywood, Los Angeles)
• 75% likelihood: Fridays and Saturdays, 10 PM - 2 AM
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, 9 PM - 12 AM
• 50% likelihood: Sundays, 7 PM - 10 PM
3. Catch LA (West Hollywood)
• 70% likelihood: Fridays and Saturdays, 10 PM - 2 AM
• 55% likelihood: Weekdays, 7 PM - 10 PM
• 50% likelihood: Sundays, 5 PM - 9 PM
Infrastructure
1. Los Angeles International Airport (LAX)
• 75% likelihood: Weekdays, 7 AM - 9 AM
• 65% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon (12 PM - 3 PM)
• 60% likelihood: Nighttime (8 PM - 2 AM)
- LAX experiences heavy foot traffic late at night due to late-night flights, international travelers, and overnight workers. The density of people and the area’s vulnerability make it a high-risk location for mass shootings during the night.
2. Union Station
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, Morning (6 AM - 9 AM)
• 60% likelihood: Weekdays, Afternoon (12 PM - 3 PM)
• 55% likelihood: Nighttime (7 PM - 11 PM)
- Union Station, as a major transportation hub, has a steady flow of people during the evening hours. Its nighttime foot traffic and accessibility make it a potential site for high-risk incidents.
Landmarks
1. Griffith Observatory
• Morning: 50% likelihood: Weekends, 6 AM - 9 AM
• Daytime: 60% likelihood: Weekends, 12 PM - 6 PM
• Nighttime: 65% likelihood: Weekdays, 6 PM - 10 PM
• Late Night: 55% likelihood: Weekdays, 10 PM - 12 AM
2. Hollywood Walk of Fame
• Morning: 50% likelihood: Weekdays, 6 AM - 9 AM
• Daytime: 60% likelihood: Weekends, 12 PM - 6 PM
• Nighttime: 70% likelihood: Weekdays, 6 PM - 10 PM
• Late Night: 65% likelihood: Weekdays, 10 PM - 12 AM
Public Parks, Beaches, or Areas
1. Venice Beach
• Morning: 55% likelihood: Weekends, 6 AM - 9 AM
• Daytime: 65% likelihood: Saturdays, 11 AM - 4 PM
• Nighttime: 60% likelihood: Weekends, 8 PM - 12 AM
• Late Night:50% likelihood: Fridays and Saturdays, 12 AM - 3 AM
2. Echo Park
• Morning: 50% likelihood: Weekdays, 6 AM - 9 AM
• Daytime: 55% likelihood: Weekdays, 12 PM - 4 PM
• Nighttime: 60% likelihood: Weekdays, 7 PM - 10 PM
• Late Night: 50% likelihood: Weekends, 10 PM - 12 AM
Tourist Destinations or Hotels
1. Rodeo Drive
• Morning: 50% likelihood: Weekdays, 7 AM - 9 AM
• Afternoon: 60% likelihood: Weekends, 12 PM - 6 PM
• Nighttime: 55% likelihood: Weekends, 7 PM - 11 PM
2. The Beverly Hills Hotel
• Morning: 50% likelihood: Weekdays, 7 AM - 9 AM
• Afternoon: 60% likelihood: Weekends, 12 PM - 6 PM
• Nighttime: 55% likelihood: Weekends, 7 PM - 11 PM