Preview: AFL Round 17

Preview: AFL Round 17

Jul 03, 2025

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Get ready for another gripping round of AFL action, with some tantalising matchups and big stakes on the line! Here's a preview of the round, based on the model's predictions:


Thursday, July 3rd

North Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium

Kicking off Round 17, we have what promises to be a fiery clash under the roof at Marvel Stadium. Your model heavily favours the Western Bulldogs with a massive 85.7% chance of victory. While North Melbourne will be desperate to put up a fight on their home turf, they face a formidable challenge against a Bulldogs side looking to solidify their position in the top half of the ladder. Can the Roos cause a monumental upset, or will the Dogs roll on as expected?


Friday, July 4th

Carlton vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG)

The iconic MCG will host one of the most anticipated matches of the round: a true blockbuster between Carlton and Collingwood. The Magpies are strong favourites here, with your model giving them a 74.1% chance of victory. This promises to be a passionate encounter, with both sets of fans eager for bragging rights. Can the Blues defy the odds and upset their arch-rivals, or will Collingwood stamp their authority on this classic rivalry?

West Coast vs GWS at Perth Stadium

Out west, the West Coast Eagles welcome the GWS Giants to Perth Stadium. The Giants are overwhelming favourites with a 77.1% chance of winning, according to the model's predictions. The Eagles will need to bring their absolute A-game to challenge a GWS side that will be looking to secure a crucial four points on the road. Expect a high-flying contest as both teams look to make a statement.


Saturday, July 5th

Essendon vs Gold Coast at Marvel Stadium

Back at Marvel Stadium, Essendon face the Gold Coast Suns in what shapes up to be a tighter contest. The Suns are given a slight edge with a 58.7% chance of victory. This is a vital game for both clubs as they push for a spot in the finals. Expect a hard-fought battle as both teams look to outmuscle each other and claim a valuable win.

Geelong vs Richmond at GMHBA Stadium

Down at GMHBA Stadium, the Cats will be roaring against Richmond. The model has Geelong as overwhelming favourites with an 88.0% chance of victory! The Tigers will be looking to cause a massive upset against one of the league's powerhouses on their home deck. Can Richmond defy the odds, or will Geelong continue their dominant run at home?

Brisbane vs Port Adelaide at the Gabba

A crucial top-eight showdown awaits at the Gabba as the Brisbane Lions host Port Adelaide. The Lions are strong favourites with a 78.7% chance of winning. This promises to be a high-quality encounter between two genuine contenders. Port Adelaide will be determined to test the Lions on their home turf, making this a must-watch clash for footy fans.

St Kilda vs Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium

Concluding Saturday's action, St Kilda takes on Hawthorn at Marvel Stadium. Hawthorn are predicted to win comfortably with a 70.3% chance of victory. The Saints will be desperate to bounce back and secure a win in front of their home crowd, but they face a tough challenge against a confident Hawks outfit.


Sunday, July 6th

Sydney vs Fremantle at the Sydney Cricket Ground (SCG)

Sunday kicks off with an intriguing battle at the SCG between the Sydney Swans and Fremantle. This is predicted to be one of the closest games of the round, with the Swans given a slight edge at 55.0% to Fremantle's 45.0%. Expect a fierce contest as both teams vie for supremacy and push their claims for a finals berth.

Adelaide vs Melbourne at Adelaide Oval

Round 17 wraps up at Adelaide Oval with the Adelaide Crows hosting Melbourne. The Crows are strong favourites with a 76.5% chance of victory. Melbourne will be looking to spoil the party in front of a passionate Adelaide crowd. Can the Demons cause an upset on the road, or will the Crows soar to victory at home?

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