The model is predicting several close games this week. Here's a look at what's ahead.
Thursday, 29 May
Brisbane vs. Essendon
Venue: The Gabba
Brisbane (4th) will look to maintain their dominance at home as they take on Essendon (8th). The Lions are strong favourites, with an 82.7% chance of victory, but the Bombers have the firepower to challenge them.
Friday, 30 May
Collingwood vs. Hawthorn
Venue: MCG
Collingwood (7th) faces Hawthorn (12th) in a matchup that could go either way. With a 58.4% probability favouring the Magpies, they’ll need to bring their best to hold off the Hawks.
Saturday, 31 May
Gold Coast vs. Fremantle
Venue: People First Stadium
Gold Coast (10th) will be hoping to continue their solid form against Fremantle (9th). The Suns are tipped to win with a 64.7% chance, but the Dockers won’t go down without a fight.
GWS vs. Richmond
Venue: ENGIE Stadium
GWS (5th) comes into this clash as heavy favourites against Richmond (14th). With an 84.9% probability leaning toward the Giants, the Tigers will need something special to cause an upset.
Sydney vs. Adelaide
Venue: SCG
Sydney (3rd) and Adelaide (11th) will face off in what should be a competitive contest. The Swans are slightly favoured at 56.3%, but the Crows have shown they can rise to the occasion.
Sunday, 1 June
Melbourne vs. St Kilda
Venue: TIO Traeger Park
Melbourne (6th) takes on St Kilda (13th) in a tight battle. The Demons hold a narrow edge at 53.8%, meaning this game could go down to the wire.
West Coast vs. Geelong
Venue: Optus Stadium
West Coast (16th) faces a huge challenge against Geelong (2nd). The Cats are clear favourites with an 82.3% chance of victory, but the Eagles will be keen to defy expectations.