Round 5 of the AFL season, held in South Australia as part of the Gather Round, promises some thrilling matchups. Here’s an updated preview of the action, combining past results, ladder standings, and the predictions from the attached image:
Thursday April 10
Adelaide vs. Geelong
Venue: Adelaide Oval
Adelaide (2nd on the ladder) will look to recover from their controversial Round 4 loss to Gold Coast. However, Geelong (9th) is predicted to win with a narrow 50.8% chance, compared to Adelaide’s 49.2%. This one-point edge suggests a tightly contested battle under the lights at Adelaide Oval.
Friday April 11
Collingwood vs. Sydney
Venue: Adelaide Oval
Collingwood (6th) has been resilient this season, while Sydney (11th) is finding their form. Predictions favor Sydney slightly (51.8%) over the Magpies (48.2%). Both teams will be looking for momentum in what promises to be a nail-biter.
Saturday April 12
North Melbourne vs. Gold Coast
Venue: Barossa Park
North Melbourne (10th) faces a tough challenge against the high-flying Suns (4th). Gold Coast is strongly favored with a 75.5% chance of victory, and their percentage of 230.6 suggests their form is unstoppable. North Melbourne’s defense will need to dig deep to avoid a blowout.
Carlton vs. West Coast
Venue: Adelaide Oval
Carlton (16th) and West Coast (18th), both winless, will face off in a crucial encounter. Carlton holds a commanding prediction advantage, with 78.7% compared to West Coast’s 21.3%. If these odds hold, this could be the Blues’ first step toward redemption.
Western Bulldogs vs. Brisbane
Venue: Norwood Oval
The Bulldogs (8th) face Brisbane (3rd) in what looks to be a challenging clash. Predictions lean toward Brisbane at 60.8%, while the Bulldogs sit at 39.2%. Brisbane’s recent form makes them favorites, but the Bulldogs could spring a surprise.
Sunday April 13
Richmond vs. Fremantle
Venue: Adelaide Oval
Richmond (15th) has had defensive struggles, while Fremantle (13th) aims to build on their solid start. Fremantle is heavily favored with 75.1% compared to Richmond’s 24.9%. The Dockers are expected to dominate this matchup.
St Kilda vs. GWS
Venue: Norwood Oval
St Kilda (7th) and GWS (5th) will battle in what is predicted to be an intriguing contest. The Giants have the edge with a 57.7% chance, while the Saints are not far behind at 42.3%. Expect this one to go down to the wire.
Port Adelaide vs. Hawthorn
Venue: Adelaide Oval
Hawthorn (1st) is undefeated and sits atop the ladder. Port Adelaide (12th), despite being at home, enters the match as underdogs with a 42.7% prediction compared to Hawthorn’s 57.3%. The Hawks are expected to maintain their impressive streak, but Port could challenge them.